While the San Francisco Bay Area recovers from the winds and rains that soaked and battered the region Tuesday, local meteorologists are setting their sights on the next storm , which is expected to drench California yet again early next week.
It’s too early to nail down the details of the forecast, but the National Weather Service’s Monterey office said that weather models are in “remarkable agreement” that another storm will develop off the California coast on Monday and Tuesday — and “the cumulative precipitation could be substantial and accompanying winds strong and gusty.”
Tuesday’s storm was driven by an area of low pressure that deepened and intensified rapidly, kicking up exceptionally powerful winds as it moved directly over San Francisco. Dangerous gusts knocked over trees, killing five people in the Bay Area. There’s indication that this next system could also see rapid pressure drops.
“It’s looking like another heavy rain-wind producer for next week,” Rick Canepa, a forecaster with the weather service, told SFGATE on Thursday afternoon.
While the models agree California will see another strong storm next week, they’re inconclusive on exactly where the storm will hit.
“The storm next week in some ways will look like what we had last week, but the location could be different,” local meteorologist Jan Null of Golden Gate Weather Services said. “Some models bring it closer to the North bay, other models bring it closer to Eureka. But we’re still five days out.”
As of Thursday afternoon, the weather service predicted that the first rains with this next system could arrive in the North Bay on Monday night, before spreading across the entire region and continuing into Tuesday, maybe Wednesday. The Bay Area could see anywhere from “a few to several inches of rain, especially in higher terrain,” forecasters said. These totals will be updated in coming days as weather models come into more agreement.
While the Bay Area waits for the next storm, the region is expected to see mostly dry weather and unseasonably cold temperatures. There’s a chance for very light rain as a cold front passes over the region Thursday night, but most areas likely won’t see any drops. Dry conditions are forecast for Friday and into the weekend.
Through the weekend, afternoon highs are expected to be in the 50s to low 60s. Overnight lows are forecast to be in the 30s in inland valleys and in the 40s along the coast; the weather service issued a frost advisory for Friday, Saturday and Sunday mornings for a large portion of inland areas.