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The Memo: Biden’s five biggest foreign policy challenges

April 11, 2021 by thehill.com Leave a Comment

President Biden Joe Biden Biden eyes bigger US role in global vaccination efforts Trump says GOP will take White House in 2024 in prepared speech Kemp: Pulling All-Star game out of Atlanta will hurt business owners of color MORE ’s early months in office have been dominated by his domestic agenda, as the nation tries to recover from the coronavirus pandemic.

Biden has expended most of his time, energy and political capital on passing the $1.9 trillion COVID-19 relief bill, and on beginning the process of selling an even larger infrastructure package.

But the world beyond America’s borders is already knocking on his door — not least in the shape of the influx of migrants that have brought the U.S. immigration system to the point of crisis.

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Here are five other major foreign policy challenges that Biden faces.

China is a singular threat to the U.S. position of global dominance.

The Chinese economy could supplant America’s as the world’s largest by the end of this decade.

Beijing has also been expanding its influence massively in trade and investment in other nations. And it has been flexing its military muscle.

An initial conversation between Biden and Chinese President Xi Jinping in February lasted two hours. The tension between the two sides was plain, with Biden pressing Xi on human rights, and the Chinese leader bridling at what he sees as Washington’s meddling in its internal affairs.

The president has cast the battle for supremacy with China as one of pivotal importance. Last month, Biden said it was up to the U.S. to prove that “democracy works.”

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Derek Grossman, a senior defense analyst at the RAND Corporation, pointed to a whole number of points of strain — including the fate of Taiwan, tension in the South China Sea, and the perennial struggles over intellectual property and cyber-espionage — to conclude that “unfortunately U.S. China-relations are at perhaps their lowest point since the establishment of diplomatic relations in 1979.”

What can Biden do about it?

China’s economy is not going to suddenly shrink. But Grossman is among those who emphasizes Beijing’s vulnerabilities, including a relative lack of allies around the world — and the amount of resources it spends surveilling and controlling its own people.

Biden is expected to play a long game, too, firming up alliances in the hope of containing Chinese spheres of influence.

The Trump administration followed a similar path, but that also came with incendiary rhetoric from the former president about “the China virus” and starting trade wars.

Trump pulled the United States out of the Iran nuclear deal in 2018. Tehran breached the terms of the accord the following year, having complied up until that point.

The original deal, signed in 2015, had been painstakingly stitched together by Iran, the United States, five other major nations and the European Union.

Now distrust is rife. But the Biden administration is hoping that things can get back on track. On Thursday, the State Department said the U.S. was “prepared to take the necessary steps” to restore the deal, including “lifting sanctions that are inconsistent” with the accord.

The problem is that there is plenty of ill-feeling lingering from the Trump-era breach.

Trita Parsi, an Iran expert and executive vice president of the Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft, noted that careful choreography was required, since both the U.S. and Iran are demanding verification that the other side will follow through on its promises.

While the reasons for Washington’s skepticism of Tehran are well known, “you have on the Iranian side, a tremendous loss of confidence in the U.S. as a whole — not only because of what Trump did but because they are not confident the U.S. has the capacity to fulfill its obligations,” Parsi said.

The arduous path to a resumption of the deal will also be played out against a tense backdrop. In late February, Biden ordered airstrikes against Iran-backed militias in Syria.

The Biden administration announced last week that it would restore aid to the Palestinians, which had been frozen during his predecessor’s time in office.

That decision alone will likely result in the flow of about $235 million to the Palestinians.

The decision was criticized in Israel — and by some in Washington.

Much of the aid will be administered through the UN relief agency UNRWA. Israel contends that UNRWA harbors an anti-Israel agenda, citing examples including the textbooks it supplies to schools.

Meanwhile, some Republicans in Congress contended that Biden should have used the offer of restoring aid as a bargaining chip with the Palestinian Authority.

The Trump administration had pushed a vigorously pro-Israel position, including a purported peace plan helmed by the president’s son-in-law and senior White House adviser Jared Kushner Jared Corey Kushner Trump in talks to partner with apps to create social media network: report Colin Kahl’s nomination will be a disaster for Israel and the region The Hill’s 12:30 Report – Presented by Facebook – What’s happening on the US border MORE that went nowhere.

The Biden administration may temper that position but there is no sea-change at hand — notably, the new administration has said it will not reverse Trump’s decision to move the U.S. embassy from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem.

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More broadly, a stable solution to the long struggle between Israel and the Palestinians has proven elusive. It’s almost three decades since then-President Clinton watched Israeli Prime Minister Yitzhak Rabin and Palestine Liberation Organization leader Yasser Arafat shake hands and sign the Oslo Peace Accords on the White House lawn.

The optimism of those days is long gone, and there is no compelling reason to think it is about to return.

Complicating the issue further, the Israeli government is in flux, with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu Benjamin (Bibi) Netanyahu MORE trying to patch together a coalition to keep him in power.

Foreign policy experts are divided on how serious a threat Russia really poses to the United States.

On one hand, its election meddling has been a huge story since Trump won in 2016. And Moscow is capable of causing Washington real embarrassment — it is almost universally blamed for the “SolarWinds” hack that targeted thousands of American security networks, including major government departments.

Doubters cast Russia as a nation straining to preserve an illusion of greater strength than it actually possesses. The economy of the former superpower does not rank among the 10 largest in the world, lying below those of Italy and Canada, among others.

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Biden has promised to be tougher on Russia than was Trump. And he caused a mini-furor last month by agreeing with a description of Russian President Vladimir Putin Vladimir Vladimirovich Putin Close the avenues of foreign meddling Israel needs Russia, but it is not a marriage made in heaven Pentagon may send warships to Black Sea in support of Ukraine MORE as “a killer.”

The Biden administration announced new sanctions against Russian officials last month, contending that the Kremlin’s intelligence services were responsible for poisoning opposition leader Aleksei Navalny. There is also some talk of a cyber counterstrike in response to the Solar Winds hack.

Biden faces competing pressures on Cuba.

Hawks — mostly but not universally Republican — want the new president to continue Trump’s hard line on Cuba. This included designating the government in Havana as a state-sponsor of terrorism.

Sens. Ted Cruz Rafael (Ted) Edward Cruz Harry Reid reacts to Boehner book excerpt: ‘We didn’t mince words’ GOP lawmakers block Biden assistance to Palestinians Cruz on Boehner: ‘I wear with pride his drunken, bloviated scorn’ MORE (R-Texas), Marco Rubio Marco Antonio Rubio Hillicon Valley: Amazon wins union election — says ‘our employees made the choice’ Overnight Defense: Biden proposes 3B defense budget | Criticism comes in from left and right | Pentagon moves toward new screening for extremists The growing threat of China’s lawfare MORE (R-Fla.) and Rick Scott (R-Fla.) are among those advocating for this position, and Democratic Sen. Robert Menendez Robert (Bob) Menendez Democrats gear up for major push to lower drug prices Biden under pressure to spell out Cuba policy Senators to Biden: ‘We must confront the reality’ on Iran nuclear program MORE (N.J.) is another long-standing hardliner on Cuba.

But 80 House Democrats have also pushed Biden to return to the more open posture toward Cuba pursued by then-President Obama. Restrictions on travel and remittances were lifted by Obama, who in 2015 also reopened the U.S. embassy in Havana, which had been closed for 54 years.

Politically speaking, the direction of U.S. policy toward the 11-million strong island would not be so important were it not for the pivotal importance of Cuban American voters in the key swing state of Florida.

Biden performed poorly in Florida last November, though there is some evidence that this was rooted more in a successful GOP effort to tar Democrats as “socialists” rather than the nuts-and-bolts of Cuba policy.

Professor William LeoGrande, a Cuba expert at American University in Washington, D.C., praised Obama’s approach as “extraordinarily successful” at encouraging cooperation on areas of mutual interest.

“Now, if your criteria is, ‘Did Cuba become a multiparty democracy?’ the answer is obviously no. But neither did it become one during the 60 years of hostility before.”

White House press secretary Jen Psaki Jen Psaki Biden eyes bigger US role in global vaccination efforts Florida newspaper blasts DeSantis’s ban on COVID-19 passports: ‘Makes no sense’ Libertarian writer Robby Soave details concerns with ‘vaccine passports’ MORE recently said that a shift in Cuba policy is “not currently among President Biden’s top priorities.”

During the 2020 campaign, Biden said he would “in large part…go back” to Obama’s approach between the U.S. and Cuba.

In office, he appears to be setting a more cautious course.

Tags Beijing Havana Tehran Benjamin Netanyahu Robert Menendez Vladimir Putin Jared Kushner Marco Rubio Joe Biden Jen Psaki Ted Cruz Foreign policy

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Filed Under: USANews Foreign policy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Robert Menendez, Vladimir Putin, Jared Kushner, Marco Rubio, Joe Biden, Jen Psaki, Ted Cruz, trump administration foreign policy, obama foreign policy failures, canada foreign policy, obama foreign policy advisors, us cuba foreign policy, australia foreign policy, president obama foreign policy, china foreign policy issues, africa foreign policy, whats a foreign policy

Philippines, U.S. defence chiefs hope to resume joint military drill

April 11, 2021 by www.thestar.com.my Leave a Comment

MANILA (Reuters) – Philippine and U.S. defence chiefs on Sunday expressed hopes to resume the joint “Balikatan” military exercise that was cancelled last year, as they discussed the situation in the South China Sea.

Philippine Defence Secretary Delfin Lorenzana and U.S. Defence Secretary Lloyd Austin III also discussed in a telephone conference recent developments in regional security, according to a statement issued by Lorenzana’s department.

“Both are looking forward to the conduct of Exercise Balikatan,” the statement said.

Their conversation comes just days after U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken and Philippine Foreign Affairs Secretary Teodoro Locsin, also in a phone call, expressed their shared concerns about Chinese vessels, which Manila believes are manned by militia, in the South China Sea.

The Philippines has protested against the presence of the Chinese boats inside its 200-mile exclusive economic zone at Whitsun Reef in the strategic waterway, repeatedly asking China to move the vessels away.

Chinese diplomats, however, have said the fishing boats were just sheltering from rough seas and no militia were aboard.

Austin, during the telephone conference, reiterated the importance of the Visiting Forces Agreement (VFA) between the two countries, while Lorenzana committed to discussing the matter with President Rodrigo Duterte.

In February, Duterte said he had not made a decision yet on the future of the two-decade-old troop deployment agreement with the United States.

The VFA provides the legal framework under which U.S. troops can operate on a rotational basis in the Philippines.

Relations between the United States and its former Asian colony have been complicated since 2016 when Duterte, who has repeatedly made statements condemning U.S. foreign policy while befriending China, rose to power.

Duterte has said the United States must pay more if it wants to maintain the VFA, which he unilaterally cancelled last year in an angry response to an ally being denied a U.S. visa.

The VFA’s withdrawal period has been twice extended, creating what Philippine officials say is a window for better terms to be agreed.

Lorenzana likewise sought the assistance of Austin in expediting the delivery of doses of the COVID-19 vaccine developed by U.S. pharmaceutical and biotechnology company Moderna that the Philippines has ordered.

Austin “would look into the issue and bring it to the attention of the office concerned”, the statement said.

(Reporting by Enrico Dela Cruz; Editing by Jacqueline Wong)

Filed Under: Uncategorized NA, News, pak russia hold joint military drill, druzba 2017 pak-russia joint military drill started, china malaysia thailand to hold joint military drill, pagasa island philippine military defence

Boehner finally calls it as he sees it

April 11, 2021 by thehill.com Leave a Comment

Ted Cruz Rafael (Ted) Edward Cruz Harry Reid reacts to Boehner book excerpt: ‘We didn’t mince words’ GOP lawmakers block Biden assistance to Palestinians Cruz on Boehner: ‘I wear with pride his drunken, bloviated scorn’ MORE is a “reckless asshole” and Michele Bachmann Michele Marie Bachmann MSNBC host: Boehner going after GOP ‘crazies’ now is ‘too little too late’ Boehner on Bachmann: Right-wing media made ‘people who used to be fringe characters into powerful media stars’ Evangelicals shouldn’t be defending Trump in tiff over editorial MORE a “lunatic.”

Conservative pundits like Sean Hannity Sean Patrick Hannity Cruz on Boehner: ‘I wear with pride his drunken, bloviated scorn’ MSNBC host: Boehner going after GOP ‘crazies’ now is ‘too little too late’ Sean Hannity responds to former Speaker Boehner: ‘What’s up with all the crying John?’ MORE and Rush Limbaugh are residents of “Looneyville.”

And Donald Trump, pushing a “bullshit” lie that the election was stolen, incited the “bloody insurrection” on Jan. 6 “for nothing more than selfish reasons.”

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In the world according to John Boehner John Andrew Boehner Harry Reid reacts to Boehner book excerpt: ‘We didn’t mince words’ Cruz on Boehner: ‘I wear with pride his drunken, bloviated scorn’ Boehner on Clinton impeachment: ‘I regret that I didn’t fight against it’ MORE , detailed in his profanity-laced memoir out Tuesday, the former House Speaker is the voice of reason and sanity in a Republican party that has been taken over by “whack jobs” and “insurrectionists” and become unmoored from reality — and its core conservative principles.

Liberal critics and even some GOP allies say they wish Boehner John Andrew Boehner Harry Reid reacts to Boehner book excerpt: ‘We didn’t mince words’ Cruz on Boehner: ‘I wear with pride his drunken, bloviated scorn’ Boehner on Clinton impeachment: ‘I regret that I didn’t fight against it’ MORE , the son of an Ohio barkeeper who rose to become one of the most powerful figures in Washington, had been open with his views much sooner, when the “crazies” among the Tea Party insurgents first came on the scene or when former President Trump Donald Trump Harry Reid reacts to Boehner book excerpt: ‘We didn’t mince words’ Man arrested for allegedly threatening to stab undercover Asian officer in NYC Trump says GOP will take White House in 2024 in prepared speech MORE was still in the Oval Office.

Indeed, Boehner mostly held his tongue and remained out of the spotlight during the five-and-a-half years since he was pushed out of the Speaker’s office, sticking to private paid speeches, corporate board meetings and manicured golf links rather than the cable news and Sunday shows circuit.

But Boehner’s patience in publishing his tell-all, legacy-shaping book, “On the House,” has allowed him the space and time to reflect and write about the entire arc of the Republican party during this chaotic decade: how the anti-spending, anti-Obama Tea Party movement that elevated Boehner to the Speakership in 2010 gave rise to the far-right Freedom Caucus that forced him into retirement in 2015, and ultimately morphed into the Trumpism of today that has rendered the Grand Old Party almost unrecognizable from when Boehner first arrived in Washington three decades ago.

Delaying publication until now also has made it easier for Boehner to directly take on Trump and some of the Speaker’s former archenemies who eventually aligned themselves with the Trump wing. Boehner will be doing so this week, as he kicks off a media blitz to promote his book that will include appearances on “CBS Sunday Morning” and NPR.

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Under Trump, Republicans lost the House, then the White House and finally the Senate.

And while the former president still remains the most popular, powerful figure in the GOP, Trump’s false narrative that the 2020 election was rigged coupled with his role in the deadly Capitol insurrection has sparked a fierce backlash in corporate America, turned off some big donors, and encouraged tens of thousands of voters to flee from the GOP.

“I wish he’d been saying this stuff earlier. But given Jan. 6, the whole stolen-election lie, the fact that many in the party appear to be kind of still embracing it, I think he’s an important voice to have out there,” Rep. Adam Kinzinger Adam Daniel Kinzinger The Hill’s Morning Report – Biden assails ‘epidemic’ of gun violence amid SC, Texas shootings Kinzinger is first GOP lawmaker to call on Gaetz to resign Marjorie Taylor Greene rakes in over .2M in first quarter MORE (R-Ill.), who was part of that historic 2010 freshman class and later became one of 10 Republicans who voted to impeach Trump this year, said of Boehner.

“Given the rise of this insurrection caucus, we didn’t think this was going to be a permanent thing and lead to where it did. And I think [Boehner] still thought when he was Speaker that there was a way to bring the Republican Party back — maybe without him — but that it was saveable,” Kinzinger added. “Now there’s an understanding that there’s a real fight. And part of that fight is just being honest, telling people the truth of where it came from, what’s happened, and that they’re being misled. That’s what this book can play a good role in doing.”

Boehner could be a bit of a bomb thrower himself. As a freshman member in the early 1990s, Boehner was young, hungry and fiscally conservative, a self-described troublemaker who never shied away from the TV cameras. As House minority leader in 2010, he rallied Republicans against ObamaCare in a memorable, fiery floor speech, exclaiming: “Have you read the bill? … Hell no, you haven’t!”

But at his core, Boehner, now 71, was an institutionalist, someone who had a deep respect for the Capitol and the Congress, as well as unlikely friendships across the aisle, including with liberal firebrand Rep. Maxine Waters Maxine Moore Waters 10 Democrats join NAACP lawsuit against Trump Congress must help find a faster solution to pay 10 Million past due rents Biden faces decision time on eviction moratorium MORE (D-Calif.). Any remaining goodwill Boehner might have felt toward Trump — a one-time golfing partner who would sometimes call the former Speaker for advice — was gone for good after the Jan. 6 pro-Trump riot.

Trump’s “refusal to accept the result of the election not only cost Republicans the Senate but led to mob violence. … It was painful to watch,” Boehner writes in his memoir, according to excerpts obtained by The New York Times .

Later, Boehner writes: “I’ll admit I wasn’t prepared for what came after the election — Trump refusing to accept the results and stoking the flames of conspiracy that turned into violence in the seat of our democracy, the building over which I once presided.”

The insurrection, which resulted in the deaths of a Capitol Police officer and four others, was “one of the lowest points of American democracy” and “should have been a wake-up call for a return to Republican sanity.”

Instead, just hours after the violent attack, nearly 150 Republicans voted to overturn Joe Biden Joe Biden Biden eyes bigger US role in global vaccination efforts Trump says GOP will take White House in 2024 in prepared speech Kemp: Pulling All-Star game out of Atlanta will hurt business owners of color MORE ’s election victory, including Boehner’s one-time lieutenants Reps. Kevin McCarthy Kevin McCarthy Republican House campaign arm rakes in .7 million in first quarter McCarthy asks FBI, CIA for briefing after two men on terror watchlist stopped at border Harris in difficult starring role on border MORE (Calif.) and Steve Scalise Stephen (Steve) Joseph Scalise Republican House campaign arm rakes in .7 million in first quarter The Hill’s Morning Report – Biden seeks expanded government, tax hikes A number of Republican lawmakers are saying no to COVID-19 vaccines MORE (La.).

During his nearly five-year tenure as Speaker, Boehner seemed to be in a constant battle with Tea Party insurgents in his conference, some of whom later became staunch Trump supporters. They include Reps. Jim Jordan James (Jim) Daniel Jordan Sunday shows preview: Democrats eye two-part infrastructure push; Michigan coronavirus cases surge Cruz on Boehner: ‘I wear with pride his drunken, bloviated scorn’ DOJ probe into Gaetz involves cash payments to women: report MORE , a fellow Ohio Republican who was the Freedom Caucus’s founding chairman, and Mark Meadows Mark Meadows Stephen Miller launching group to challenge Democrats’ policies through lawsuits A year with the coronavirus: How we got here Trump attacks Karl Rove: ‘A pompous fool with bad advice’ MORE (R-N.C.), who led the effort to oust Boehner and would go on to become Trump’s last White House chief of staff.

Boehner rarely lashed out at his Republican foes in public, knowing that it would only inflame the infighting and exacerbate the divisions, colleagues said.

“One of his favorite lines was, ‘If you’re out walking and nobody’s following, you’re just a guy out for a walk,’ ” Rep. David Joyce David Joyce Greene sounds off on GOP after Hill story Marjorie Taylor Greene’s delay tactics frustrate GOP The Hill’s Morning Report – Presented by Facebook – Which path will Democrats take on COVID-19 bill? MORE , a Boehner friend and fellow Ohio Republican, told The Hill. “Being a leader, he was trying to get 218-plus independent agents to start to come together and see the world his way, and that was hard work. He had a bunch of competing interests there. I can imagine there was a tremendous amount of frustration on his behalf.

“While he had to remain quiet while in charge, now he can explain things the way he sees fit,” Joyce added. “He doesn’t have to worry about anybody but himself and Debbie,” his wife.

In another twist of fate, Boehner was succeeded in Congress by Rep. Warren Davidson Warren Earl Davidson The Hill’s Morning Report – Biden: Back to the future on immigration, Afghanistan, Iran Ambitious House lawmakers look for promotions READ: The Republicans who voted to challenge election results MORE (R-Ohio), a conservative hardliner and Trump ally who would join the very Freedom Caucus that had pushed Boehner into an early retirement.

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But in an interview, Davidson said Boehner is still extremely popular in his western Ohio district — just like Trump. And he gave insights into why the merlot-sipping, chain-smoking barkeeper’s son was able to make it so far in politics. Boehner called to congratulate Davidson the night he won his election in 2016, and they agreed to meet for dinner. Boehner drove an hour to Davidson’s hometown of Troy and they dined in a Mexican restaurant where Boehner gave him tips on navigating the House and the district and shared his contacts.

“He’s still well-liked in the district by tons of folks, just like on the Hill. Some people love him and some people were kind of happy to see him move on,” Davidson said. “But I think everybody has some sort of good story about him, and he’s a likeable person. And I think a lot of people whether they loved him or didn’t are going to enjoy reading his book.”

Davidson’s Boehner story happened at the Mexican restaurant that night. He asked the Speaker if the recent press accounts were true: Did Boehner really call Ted Cruz “Lucifer in the flesh”?

“I did,” Boehner replied. “Have you ever met Ted Cruz?”

Tags Michele Bachmann Warren Davidson Kevin McCarthy Adam Kinzinger Steve Scalise Maxine Waters Mark Meadows Donald Trump Sean Hannity John Boehner David Joyce Jim Jordan Joe Biden Ted Cruz Boehner

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